Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Updated MAAC tiebreaker scenarios: February 21, 2018

Updated after victories by Canisius and Fairfield Wednesday night, here are the latest Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tiebreaker scenarios leading up to next week's MAAC Tournament in Albany:

Rider (14-2 MAAC): Has already clinched a first-round bye AND no worse than No. 2 seed. Broncs can clinch share of regular season MAAC championship with a win Thursday at Monmouth. Can clinch regular season championship, and automatic bid into National Invitation Tournament, with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Thursday at Monmouth AND Sunday vs. Iona. 
2) Win Thursday at Monmouth OR Sunday vs. Iona, AND with a Canisius loss to Marist Sunday.

Should Rider and Canisius finish tied and Niagara finishes as No. 3 seed:
Rider would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed by virtue of 1-0 record against Niagara, while Canisius is 1-1.

Should Rider and Canisius finish tied and Iona finishes as No. 3 seed:
Canisius would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed by virtue of 2-0 record against Iona, while Rider is 0-1.

Should Rider and Canisius finish tied AND Iona and Niagara finish tied:
Tiebreaker will be combined record against Iona and Niagara. Currently, Rider is 1-1 combined, while Canisius is 3-1. Therefore, Canisius would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed and automatic NIT bid by virtue of better head-to-head record among the group.

Canisius (14-3 MAAC): Has already clinched a first-round bye and no worse than No. 2 seed. Golden Griffins can clinch share of regular season MAAC championship with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Sunday vs. Marist, AND a Rider loss Thursday at Monmouth OR Sunday vs. Iona.
2) Loss Sunday vs. Marist AND two Rider losses.

Can still clinch regular season championship, and automatic bid into National Invitation Tournament, with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Sunday vs. Marist, plus TWO Rider losses.
2) TWO Iona wins, Friday vs. Manhattan AND Sunday at Rider.
3) Win Sunday vs. Marist, AND each of the following:
a) Rider win Thursday at Monmouth AND loss Sunday vs. Iona.
b) Iona loss Friday vs. Manhattan AND win Sunday at Rider.
c) Niagara loss Friday vs. Marist. 

Should Canisius and Rider finish tied and Niagara finishes as No. 3 seed:
Rider would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed by virtue of their 99-76 win over Niagara on December 31, while Canisius is 1-1.

Should Canisius and Rider finish tied and Iona finishes as No. 3 seed:
Canisius would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed by virtue of their regular-season sweep of Iona, while Rider is 0-1.

Should Canisius and Rider finish tied AND Iona and Niagara finish tied:

Tiebreaker will be combined record against Iona and Niagara. Currently, Rider is 1-1 combined, while Canisius is 3-1. Therefore, Canisius would have tiebreaker and earn No. 1 seed and automatic NIT bid by virtue of better head-to-head record among the group.

Niagara (11-6 MAAC): Has already clinched a first-round bye and can finish as either No. 3 or 4 seed. Purple Eagles will open MAAC Tournament on Saturday, March 3, either at 7 p.m. or 9:30 p.m. Can clinch No. 3 seed with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Friday vs. Marist AND an Iona loss Friday vs. Manhattan OR Sunday at Rider.
2) TWO Iona losses, Friday vs. Manhattan AND Sunday at Rider.
3) Loss Friday vs. Marist, AND each of the following:
a) Canisius win Sunday vs. Marist.
b) Rider loss Thursday at Monmouth OR Sunday vs. Iona.
c) Iona loss Friday vs. Manhattan OR Sunday at Rider.

Should Niagara and Iona finish tied and Rider finishes as No. 1 seed:
Iona would have tiebreaker and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their 91-64 win over Rider on January 14, while Niagara is 0-1.

Should Niagara and Iona finish tied and Canisius finishes as No. 1 seed:
Niagara would have tiebreaker and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their 105-89 win over Canisius on January 27, while Iona is 0-2.

Should Niagara and Iona finish tied AND Canisius and Rider finish tied:

The first-place tie would be settled first using the above tiebreaker, which would be held by Canisius. As a result, Niagara would have tiebreaker on Iona and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their win over Canisius.

Iona (10-6 MAAC): Has already clinched first-round bye and can finish as either No. 3 or 4 seed. Gaels will open MAAC Tournament on Saturday, March 3, either at 7 p.m. or 9:30 p.m. Can clinch No. 3 seed with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Friday vs. Manhattan AND Sunday at Rider, AND a Niagara loss Friday vs. Marist.

Should Iona and Niagara finish tied and Rider finishes as No. 1 seed:
Iona would have tiebreaker and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their 91-64 win over Rider on January 14, while Niagara is 0-1.

Should Iona and Niagara finish tied and Canisius finishes as No. 1 seed:

Niagara would have tiebreaker and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their 105-89 win over Canisius on January 27, while Iona is 0-2.

Should Niagara and Iona finish tied AND Canisius and Rider finish tied:


The first-place tie would be settled first using the above tiebreaker, which would be held by Canisius. As a result, Niagara would have tiebreaker on Iona and earn No. 3 seed by virtue of their win over Canisius.

Should Iona and Manhattan finish tied at 10-8, Gaels will have tiebreaker and earn No. 4 seed by virtue of their 91-64 win over Rider on January 14.

Manhattan (8-8 MAAC): Can finish as either No. 5, 6, or 7 seed. Jaspers can clinch No. 5 seed and first-round bye with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Friday at Iona AND Sunday vs. Quinnipiac.
2) Win Friday at Iona AND a Quinnipiac loss Friday vs. Saint Peter's.
3) Win Sunday vs. Quinnipiac.

Should Manhattan and Iona finish tied at 10-8, Jaspers will earn No. 5 seed as Iona will have tiebreaker by virtue of their 91-64 win over Rider on January 14.

Should Manhattan and Fairfield finish tied at 9-9, Jaspers will have tiebreaker and earn No. 5 seed by virtue of their regular-season sweep.

Should Manhattan and Quinnipiac finish tied at 9-9, Bobcats will have tiebreaker and earn No. 5 seed by virtue of their regular-season sweep.

Should Manhattan, Fairfield and Quinnipiac finish tied at 9-9 or 8-10 while Monmouth finishes 7-11 or worse, Jaspers will earn No. 6 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Manhattan at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Manhattan, Fairfield, Quinnipiac and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10, Jaspers will earn No. 6 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 4-1, followed by Manhattan at 3-3, Monmouth at 2-3 and Fairfield at 2-4.

Should Manhattan, Fairfield and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 9-9, Jaspers will earn No. 6 seed with best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Monmouth at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Manhattan and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 9-9 and Fairfield finishes 7-11, Jaspers will earn No. 7 seed as Monmouth would have tiebreaker by virtue of their win over Rider on February 22.

Should Manhattan, Monmouth and Quinnipiac finish tied at 8-10 while Fairfield finishes 7-11, Jaspers will earn No. 7 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-0, followed by Monmouth at 1-2 and Manhattan at 1-3.

Manhattan can also finish as No. 7 seed with 8-10 record if Fairfield and Quinnipiac finish 9-9.

Fairfield (8-9 MAAC): Can finish no higher than No. 5 seed, and no lower than No. 8 seed. Stags can clinch No. 5 seed and first-round bye with either of the following scenarios:
1) Win Saturday vs. Monmouth, AND TWO Manhattan losses.
2) Win Saturday vs. Monmouth, AND a Quinnipiac loss Friday vs. Saint Peter's, AND two Manhattan losses.

Should Fairfield and Quinnipiac finish tied at 9-9 while Manhattan finishes 8-10, Stags will have tiebreaker and earn No. 5 seed by virtue of either their 104-85 win over Niagara on January 20 or their 103-100 win over Iona on January 29.

Should Fairfield and Manhattan finish tied at 9-9 and Quinnipiac finishes 8-10 or worse, Stags will earn No. 6 seed as Manhattan will have tiebreaker by virtue of their regular-season sweep.

Fairfield can also finish as No. 6 seed with 9-9 or 8-10 record if Manhattan wins Friday at Iona AND Sunday vs. Quinnipiac. Should Fairfield and Quinnipiac finish tied at 8-10 and Monmouth finishes 7-11 or worse while Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Stags will have tiebreaker and earn No. 6 seed by virtue of their wins over Niagara and Iona.

Should Fairfield, Monmouth and Quinnipiac finish tied at 8-10 while Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Stags will earn No. 7 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Fairfield at 2-2 and Monmouth at 1-2.

Should Fairfield, Manhattan and Quinnipiac finish tied at 9-9 or 8-10 while Monmouth finishes 7-11 or worse, Stags will earn No. 7 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Manhattan at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Fairfield and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 7-11, Stags will have tiebreaker and earn No. 6 seed by virtue of their win over Niagara, IF Niagara finishes as No. 3 seed. If Iona finishes as No. 3 seed, Monmouth will have tiebreaker and Stags will earn No. 7 seed.

Should Manhattan, Fairfield and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 9-9, Stags will earn No. 8 seed as Manhattan will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Monmouth at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Fairfield, Manhattan, Quinnipiac and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10, Stags will earn No. 8 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 4-1, followed by Manhattan at 3-3, Monmouth at 2-3 and Fairfield at 2-4.

Quinnipiac (7-9 MAAC): Can finish as either No. 5, 6, or 7 seed. Bobcats can clinch No. 5 seed and first-round bye with wins Friday vs. Saint Peter's AND Sunday at Manhattan.

Should Quinnipiac, Fairfield and Manhattan finish tied at 9-9 or 8-10, Bobcats will earn No. 5 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Manhattan at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Quinnipiac, Fairfield, Manhattan and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10, Bobcats will earn No. 5 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 4-1, followed by Manhattan at 3-3, Monmouth at 2-3 and Fairfield at 2-4.

Should Quinnipiac, Fairfield and Monmouth finish tied at 8-10 while Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Bobcats will earn No. 6 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Fairfield at 2-2 and Monmouth at 1-2.

Should Quinnipiac and Fairfield finish tied at 8-10 and Monmouth finishes 7-11 or worse while Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Bobcats will earn No. 7 seed as Fairfield would have tiebreaker by virtue of their wins over Niagara and Iona.

Should Quinnipiac and Monmouth finish tied at 7-11 while Fairfield finishes 8-10 or better, Bobcats will have tiebreaker and earn No. 7 seed by virtue of their 78-76 win over Monmouth on December 28.

Quinnipiac can also earn No. 7 seed outright with 7-11 record if Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Fairfield finishes 8-10 or better, and Monmouth finishes 6-12.

Monmouth (6-10 MAAC): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 1. Can finish no higher than No. 6 seed, and no lower than No. 9 seed.

Should Monmouth and Fairfield finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 7-11, Hawks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 6 seed by virtue of their win over Iona, IF Iona finishes ahead of Niagara in final standings. If Niagara finishes ahead of Iona in final standings, Fairfield will have tiebreaker and Hawks will earn No. 7 seed.

Should Monmouth, Fairfield, Manhattan and Quinnipiac finish tied at 8-10, Hawks will earn No. 7 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 4-1, followed by Manhattan at 3-3, Monmouth at 2-3 and Fairfield at 2-4.

Should Monmouth, Fairfield and Manhattan finish tied at 8-10 while Quinnipiac finishes 9-9, Hawks will earn No. 7 seed as Manhattan will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Monmouth at 2-2 and Fairfield at 1-3.

Should Monmouth, Fairfield and Quinnipiac finish tied at 8-10 while Manhattan finishes 9-9 or better, Hawks will earn No. 8 seed as Quinnipiac will have best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Fairfield at 2-2 and Monmouth at 1-2.

Monmouth can also earn No. 8 seed outright with a win in either of its final two games if Fairfield, Manhattan and Quinnipiac all finish 9-9, OR with a 7-11 record if Fairfield and Quinnipiac win either of their final two games.

Should Monmouth and Marist finish tied at 6-12 while Saint Peter's and Siena finish 5-13 or worse, Hawks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 8 seed by virtue of their 91-78 win over Marist on January 27.

Should Monmouth, Marist and Saint Peter's finish tied at 6-12 while Siena finishes 5-13 or worse, Hawks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 8 seed with best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Saint Peter's at 2-2 and Marist at 1-2.

Should Monmouth and Saint Peter's finish tied at 6-12 while Marist and Siena finish 5-13 or worse, Hawks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 8 seed by virtue of their win over Iona, IF Iona finishes as No. 3 seed. If Niagara finishes as No. 3 seed, Saint Peter's will have tiebreaker and Hawks will earn No. 9 seed.

Saint Peter's (4-12 MAAC): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 1. Can finish as either No. 8, 9, 10, or 11 seed.

Should Monmouth and Saint Peter's finish tied at 6-12 while Marist and Siena finish 5-13 or worse, Peacocks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 8 seed by virtue of their win over Niagara, IF Niagara finishes as No. 3 seed. If Iona finishes as No. 3 seed, Monmouth will have tiebreaker and Peacocks will earn No. 9 seed.

Should Saint Peter's, Marist and Monmouth finish tied at 6-12 while Siena finishes 5-13 or worse, Peacocks will earn No. 9 seed as Monmouth will have best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Saint Peter's at 2-2 and Marist at 1-2.

Saint Peter's can also clinch No. 9 seed outright by finishing 6-12 while Marist and Siena finish 5-13 or 4-14.

Saint Peter's can also earn No. 10 seed outright by finishing 5-13 while Marist finishes 6-12 and Siena finishes 4-14.

Should Saint Peter's and Marist finish tied at 4-14 while Siena finishes 5-13, Peacocks will have tiebreaker and earn No. 10 seed by virtue of their 58-52 win over Niagara on February 2.

Should Saint Peter's, Marist and Siena finish tied at 5-13 and Siena defeats Saint Peter's on February 25, Peacocks will earn No. 11 seed as Siena will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Marist at 2-2 and Saint Peter's at 1-3.


Saint Peter's can earn No. 11 seed outright with losses in BOTH of its final two games AND wins by Marist in BOTH of their final two games.

Marist (4-12 MAAC): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 1. Can finish as either No. 9, 10, or 11 seed. Can only clinch No. 9 seed with the following scenario:
Wins Friday at Niagara AND Sunday at Canisius, AND losses by Saint Peter's AND Siena in either of their two remaining games.

Should Marist and Monmouth finish tied at 6-12 while Saint Peter's and Siena finish 5-13 or worse, Red Foxes will earn No. 9 seed by virtue of Monmouth's 91-78 win over Marist on January 27.

Marist can also earn No. 9 seed outright by finishing 6-12 while Saint Peter's and Siena finish 5-13 or 4-14.

Should Marist, Monmouth and Saint Peter's finish tied at 6-12 while Siena finishes 5-13 or worse, Red Foxes will earn No. 10 seed as Monmouth will have best head-to-head record among the group at 2-1, followed by Saint Peter's at 2-2 and Marist at 1-2.

Should Marist and Siena finish tied at 5-13 while Saint Peter's finishes 4-14, Red Foxes will earn No. 10 seed by virtue of Siena's 65-62 win over Canisius on January 7.

Should Marist, Saint Peter's and Siena finish tied at 5-13 and Siena defeats Saint Peter's on February 25, Red Foxes will earn No. 10 seed as Siena will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Marist at 2-2 and Saint Peter's at 1-3.

Marist can also earn No. 10 seed outright by finishing 5-13 while Saint Peter's finishes 6-12 and Siena 4-14.

Should Marist and Siena finish tied at 5-13 or 4-14 while Saint Peter's finishes 6-12 or 5-13, Red Foxes will earn No. 11 seed by virtue of Siena's 65-62 win over Canisius on January 7.

Should Marist and Saint Peter's finish tied at 4-14 while Siena finishes 5-13, Red Foxes will earn No. 11 seed by virtue of Saint Peter's 58-52 win over Niagara on February 2.

Siena (4-13 MAAC): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 1. Can finish as either No. 9, 10, or 11 seed.

Should Siena, Marist and Saint Peter's finish tied at 5-13 and Siena defeats Saint Peter's on February 25, Saints will have tiebreaker and earn No. 9 seed with best head-to-head record among the group at 3-1, followed by Marist at 2-2 and Saint Peter's at 1-3.

Should Siena and Saint Peter's finish tied at 5-13 and Saint Peter's defeats Siena on February 25 while Marist finishes 4-14, Saints will have tiebreaker and earn No. 9 seed by virtue of their 65-62 win over Canisius on January 7.

Should Siena, Marist and Monmouth finish tied at 6-12 while Saint Peter's finishes 5-13 or worse, Saints will earn No. 10 seed as Monmouth will have best head-to-head record among the group at 3-0, followed by Marist at 1-2 and Siena at 1-3.

Siena can also earn No. 10 seed outright by finishing 5-13 while Marist or Saint Peter's finishes either 6-12 or 4-14.

Should Siena and Marist finish tied at 5-13 or 4-14 while Saint Peter's finishes 6-12, Saints will have tiebreaker and earn No. 10 seed by virtue of their 65-62 win over Canisius on January 7.

Siena can earn No. 11 seed outright with losses in BOTH of its final two games while Marist and Saint Peter's win either of their final two games.

These tiebreaker scenarios will be updated frequently, both on this site and on Twitter (@DalyDoseOfHoops) in the days leading up to the opening-round games on Thursday, March 1.

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