Friday, March 1, 2019

Updated MAAC tiebreaker scenarios: March 1, 2019

Updated after victories by Canisius, Fairfield, Iona, Monmouth and Quinnipiac Friday night, here is the updated list of Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference seeding and tiebreaker scenarios as they relate to next week's MAAC Men's Basketball Championship, held at Albany's Times Union Center from March 7-11:

Iona (12-6): Has clinched No. 1 seed, at least a share of the MAAC regular season championship, an automatic berth in the National Invitation Tournament, and will open the MAAC tournament in the quarterfinals on Friday, March 8, at 7 p.m.

Quinnipiac (11-6): Has clinched a first-round bye and can finish as either No. 2, 3, or 4 seed.

Can clinch No. 2 seed and a share of the MAAC regular season championship with a win Sunday vs. Manhattan.

Canisius (11-7): Has clinched a first-round bye and can finish as either No. 2 or 3 seed.

Can clinch No. 2 seed with a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan.

Siena (10-7): Can finish as either No. 4, 5, or 6 seed. 

Can clinch first-round bye with a win Sunday at Niagara. 

Can clinch No. 4 seed with a win Sunday at Niagara AND a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan, OR a win Sunday at Niagara AND wins by Quinnipiac Sunday vs. Manhattan AND Rider Sunday at Marist. 

Will finish as No. 5 seed with a win Sunday at Niagara AND both a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan AND a Rider win Sunday at Marist. 

Will finish as No. 6 seed with a loss Sunday at Niagara AND a Rider win Sunday at Marist.

Rider (10-7): Can finish as either No. 3, 4, 5, or 6 seed. 

Can clinch first-round bye with win Sunday at Marist. 

Can clinch No. 3 seed with a win Sunday at Marist AND both a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan AND a Siena loss Sunday at Niagara, OR with a win Sunday at Marist, a Siena win Sunday at Niagara AND a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan. 

Will finish as No. 4 seed with a win Sunday at Marist, a Quinnipiac win Sunday vs. Manhattan, AND a Siena loss Sunday at Niagara.

Will finish as No. 5 seed with a win Sunday at Marist, a Quinnipiac win Sunday vs. Manhattan, AND a Siena win Sunday at Niagara.

Will finish as No. 6 seed with a loss Sunday at Marist.

Monmouth (10-8): Can finish as either No. 4, 5 or 6 seed.

Can clinch first-round bye with a Rider loss Sunday at Marist.

Will finish as No. 4 seed with a Siena loss Sunday at Niagara AND a Rider loss Sunday at Marist.

Will finish as No. 5 seed with a Rider win Sunday at Marist, AND a Siena loss Sunday at Niagara, OR a Quinnipiac loss Sunday vs. Manhattan, a Siena win Sunday a Niagara AND a Rider loss Sunday at Marist.

Will finish as No. 6 seed with a Rider win Sunday at Marist AND a Siena win Sunday at Niagara.

Marist (7-10): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 7. 

Can finish as either No. 7, 8, or 9 seed.

Can clinch No. 7 seed with a win Sunday vs. Rider OR a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Fairfield loss Sunday at Saint Peter's.

Will finish as No. 8 seed with a loss Sunday vs. Rider AND a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac, OR a loss Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Fairfield win Sunday at Saint Peter's.

Will finish as No. 9 seed with a loss Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac, AND a Fairfield win Sunday at Saint Peter's.

Manhattan (7-10): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 7. 

Can finish as either No. 7, 8, or 9 seed.

Can clinch No. 7 seed with a win Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider.

Will finish as No. 8 seed with a Marist win Sunday vs. Rider, OR with a loss Sunday at Quinnipiac, a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider AND a Fairfield loss Sunday at Saint Peter's, OR with a loss Sunday at Quinnipiac, a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider AND a Fairfield loss Sunday at Saint Peter's, AND a Siena loss Sunday at Niagara.

Will finish as No. 9 seed with a loss Sunday at Quinnipiac, a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider, AND a Fairfield win Sunday at Saint Peter's.

Niagara (6-11): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 7. 

Can finish as either No. 9, 10, or 11 seed.

Can clinch No. 9 seed with a win Sunday vs. Siena AND a Saint Peter's win Sunday vs. Fairfield, OR a win Sunday vs. Siena, a Marist win Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Fairfield win Sunday at Saint Peter's.

Will finish as No. 10 seed with a Saint Peter's loss Sunday vs. Fairfield.

Will finish as No. 11 seed with a loss Sunday vs. Siena AND a Saint Peter's win Sunday vs. Fairfield.

Fairfield (6-11): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 7. 

Can finish as either No. 7, 8, 9, or 10 seed.

Can clinch No. 7 seed with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider AND a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac.

Will finish as No. 8 seed with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider, OR with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Niagara loss Sunday vs. Siena.

Will finish as No. 9 seed with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Marist win Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Niagara loss Sunday vs. Siena, OR with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Marist win Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Niagara win Sunday at Siena.

Will finish as No. 10 seed with a loss Sunday at Saint Peter's AND a Niagara loss Sunday vs. Siena, OR with a loss Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Marist loss Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan loss Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Niagara win Sunday vs. Siena, OR with a win Sunday at Saint Peter's, a Marist win Sunday vs. Rider, a Manhattan win Sunday at Quinnipiac AND a Niagara win Sunday vs. Siena.

Saint Peter's (5-12): Is assured of competing in an opening-round game Thursday, March 7. 

Can finish as either No. 9 or 11 seed.

Can clinch No. 9 seed with a win Sunday vs. Fairfield AND a Niagara loss Sunday vs. Siena.

Will finish as No. 11 seed with a loss Sunday vs. Fairfield OR a win Sunday vs. Fairfield AND a Niagara win Sunday vs. Siena.

If Quinnipiac and Rider finish 11-7, and Siena finishes 10-8:
Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would be the No. 2 seed by virtue of a 3-1 record in the mini-conference between the three teams, then Rider would be the No. 3 seed with a 2-2 record in the group, followed by Quinnipiac as the No. 4 seed with a 1-3 record in the group. Monmouth would be the No. 5 seed and Siena the No. 6 seed by virtue of Monmouth's regular season sweep of Siena.

If Quinnipiac and Siena finish 11-7, and Rider finishes 10-8:
Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would be the No. 2 seed by virtue of its 4-0 record in the mini-conference tiebreaker. Quinnipiac would be the No. 3 seed by virtue of its head-to-head win over Siena, who would be the No. 4 seed. Rider would be the No. 6 seed, as the Broncs would lose the tiebreaker for the No. 5 seed to Monmouth by virtue of Monmouth's win over Iona, who swept Rider.

If Quinnipiac, Rider and Siena all finish 11-7:
Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would be the No. 2 seed with a 5-1 record against the group. Rider would be the No. 3 seed and Quinnipiac would be the No. 4 seed by virtue of Rider's regular season win over Canisius, who swept Quinnipiac. Both teams will have finished 2-3 against the group, and both teams split their season series with Iona, so Canisius would be the highest common opponent. Siena would be the No. 5 seed, having gone winless against the group.

If Quinnipiac finishes 12-6, and Rider and Siena finish 11-7:
Quinnipiac would be the No. 2 seed. Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would be the No. 3 seed with a 3-1 record in the mini-conference tiebreaker with Rider and Siena. Siena would then be the No. 4 seed by virtue of its head-to-head win over Rider, who would be the No. 5 seed.

If Quinnipiac finishes 11-7, and Rider and Siena finish 10-8:
Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would hold the tiebreaker by virtue of its regular season sweep of Quinnipiac. Therefore, Canisius would be the No. 2 seed and Quinnipiac the No. 3 seed. Monmouth would be the No. 4 seed by virtue of its 3-1 record in a mini-conference with Rider and Siena (see below for further details).

If Siena and Rider both finish 11-7 or 10-8:
Siena holds the tiebreaker by virtue of its regular season win over Rider in the lone meeting between the schools. If both teams finish 11-7, Canisius, who is also 11-7, would hold the three-way tiebreaker by virtue of a 3-1 record in a mini-conference between the three schools. If both teams finish 10-8, Monmouth holds the three-way tiebreaker by virtue of its 3-1 record in a prospective mini-conference.


If Quinnipiac finishes 12-6, Rider finishes 11-7, and Siena finishes 10-8:
Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, holds the tiebreaker by virtue of its regular season sweep of Quinnipiac, and would be the No. 3 seed. Both Canisius and Rider were swept by Iona, so Quinnipiac would be the highest common opponent. Rider would be the No. 4 seed. Siena would be the No. 6 seed, as Monmouth holds the tiebreaker due to its regular season sweep.

If Rider finishes 11-7, and Monmouth and Siena finish 10-8:
Monmouth holds the tiebreaker and would be the No. 5 seed by virtue of its regular season sweep of Siena, who would be the No. 6 seed. Canisius, who has already finished at 11-7, would hold the tiebreaker over Rider regardless of where Quinnipiac finishes, by virtue of either its sweep of Quinnipiac, who defeated Rider, OR its 3-1 record in a mini-conference with Quinnipiac and Rider.

If Monmouth, Rider and Siena all finish 10-8:
Monmouth would be the No. 4 seed by virtue of its 3-1 record in the mini-conference tiebreaker. Siena would then be the No. 5 seed by virtue of its head-to-head win over Rider, who would be the No. 6 seed.

If Marist and Manhattan finish tied at 8-10 or 7-11:
Marist holds the tiebreaker by virtue of its regular season sweep of Manhattan.

If Manhattan finishes 8-10, and Fairfield and Marist finish 7-11:
Manhattan would be the No. 7 seed outright. Fairfield would be the No. 8 seed by virtue of its regular season sweep of Marist, who would be the No. 9 seed.

If Marist, Manhattan and Fairfield all finish 7-11:
Fairfield would hold the three-way tiebreaker with a 3-1 record against the group, followed by Marist at 2-2 and Manhattan at 1-3.

If Marist, Manhattan, Fairfield and Niagara all finish 7-11:
Fairfield would hold the tiebreaker with a 4-2 record against the group, followed by Marist at 3-2, then Manhattan at 3-3 and Niagara at 1-4.

If Fairfield, Niagara and Saint Peter's all finish 6-12:
Saint Peter's holds the tiebreaker with a 3-1 record against the group, followed by Fairfield at 2-2 and Niagara at 1-3.

If Fairfield and Saint Peter's finish tied at 6-12 and Niagara finishes 5-13:
Fairfield holds the tiebreaker by virtue of its regular season win over Iona, who would be the highest common opponent since Fairfield and Saint Peter's split the season series.

If Fairfield and Niagara finish tied at 6-12 and Saint Peter's finishes 5-13:
Niagara would be the No. 9 seed by virtue of its win against Quinnipiac OR sweep of Canisius, depending on who finishes ahead of the other. Both Fairfield and Niagara split with Iona, so Quinnipiac or Canisius would be the highest common opponent.

These tiebreaker scenarios will be updated frequently, both on this site and on Twitter (@DalyDoseOfHoops) in the days leading up to the opening-round games on Thursday, March 7.

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